Bhayshul Tuten or Jordan Addison: Who Should You Start?

The call

• The script is ideal: Jacksonville is favored by 7.5 with a 24.0 implied total, the kind of game where a lead back gets fourth-quarter carries and goal-line looks.
• Usage is the problem — 21% snap share and a 3% target share over 15 games is a rotational role, so the 12.9-point projection assumes a bigger workload than his season profile supports.
• He's listed questionable, so you need clarity before locking him in; if he's cleared and taking first-team work, he's a fine PPR flex, if he's limited he's a bench stash.
• The Cleveland DvP composite (17 of 32) is a neutral, zero-game-sample read — it neither boosts nor sinks the call.

The call

• The role is not the problem: 85% snap share and a 21% target share over 14 games make Addison a locked-in WR2 who gets fed regardless of script.
• The matchup is neutral at best — Green Bay grades 17 of 32 in the DvP composite, and that number carries a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no edge to bank on.
• A 21.5 implied team total with a 1.5-point spread points to a tight, moderate-scoring game — enough passing volume to matter, not enough to project a spike week.
• Tiebreaker: start him if your alternative is a sub-15% target-share flyer; sit him if you have a WR attached to a higher implied total or a genuinely soft coverage matchup.