Start Tyler Warren over Tucker Kraft — Week 1 Start/Sit Verdict

Start Warren — the projection and consensus rank edges are too wide to ignore.

Tyler Warren projects 12.2 to Kraft's 10.1 and is the higher consensus play (TE4 to TE9). Kraft's edge is snap share, 86% to 84%. The gap is comfortable.

Tucker Kraft

TE9GBvs MIN

6.18.110.1 Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium

Tyler Warren

TE4INDvs BAL

7.29.712.2 Projected Points

Start

Why Tucker Kraft

Toss-Up· medium

Starting TE and primary mismatch threat. Powerful Y-tight end with run-after-catch ability and red-zone production.

Questionable tag is the only thing holding back a TE9 with an 86% snap share and 20% target share — clear start if he's active.

Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
Vegas implies 23.0 team points as 1.5-point favorites.
Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 86% snap share in 2025.

The call

Role is elite for the position: 86% snap share and a 20% target share over eight games make Kraft a true focal point in the Green Bay passing game, not a matchup-dependent streamer.
Consensus has him TE9 at 10.5 projected points, which plays as a starter in 12-team PPR the moment his status clears.
The questionable designation is the whole risk here — if he's limited or a late scratch, you're stuck without a replacement, so have a backup TE rostered and check the final injury report.
Game script is neutral-to-friendly: a 1.5-point favorite with a 23.0 implied total means a competitive game where Kraft stays involved as an underneath and seam target rather than getting scripted out.

Why Tyler Warren

Start

Starting TE in pass-catching role. Mismatch move-piece with high target share, vertical seam ability, and red-zone usage.

Start — every-week TE start at consensus TE4: 21% target share in 2025, Questionable on the latest report.

Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
Vegas implies 23.0 team points as 3.5-point underdogs.
Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 84% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Tucker Kraft	Tyler Warren
Projected points	6.18.110.1	7.29.712.2
Consensus rank	TE9	TE4
Opponent vs position	MINno ranking yet	BALno ranking yet
Target share	20%(2025)	21%(2025)
Reception share	21%(2025)	21%(2025)
Implied total · spread	23.0-1.5	23.0+3.5
Depth chart	TE1	TE1
Snap share	86%(2025)	84%(2025)
Injury designation	Q	Q