Isaiah Likely or Stefon Diggs: Who Should You Start?

Likely's Shallow-Position Edge Beats Diggs' Bigger Raw Target Share

Likely's 14% target share on 59% of snaps is modest by receiver standards, but tight end is a shallow position, and that usage as a seam-stretching mismatch piece is plenty to make him a comfortable TE14. Diggs actually out-targets him at 21%, yet WR38 tells you Washington's passing game isn't funneling him enough volume to clear the flex bar, especially playing as a 5.5-point underdog with a lower implied total that points to a tougher, potentially run-first script. The projected points are basically a coin flip, so this call is really about where each score sits on his own positional ladder — solidly above replacement at tight end versus hovering at the WR fringe. The risk with Likely is role-based: if NYG leans on him more as an in-line blocker on early downs, that snap share won't turn into targets.

What flips it: A shift toward more early-down blocking snaps for Likely, or a Washington deficit big enough to force heavy late-game volume to Diggs.

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Head-to-head stats

Signal breakdown

• 9.4 vs 9.7 projected PPR pointsStefon Diggs +
• Rank 14 vs 38Isaiah Likely +
• Opponent DvP rank 10 vs 10 (32 = softest)even
• Implied 23.5 vs 20.5 team pointsIsaiah Likely +
• No injury designationseven
• 59% vs 54% snap shareIsaiah Likely +

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Week 1170 players

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Player A

TE · Isaiah Likely

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Player B

WR · Stefon Diggs

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