Gunnar Helm or Justice Hill: Who Should You Start?
Preliminary board2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.
Helm's Locked-In TE1 Role Edges Hill's Game-Script Bump in a Wafer-Thin Call
Helm's spot as Tennessee's clear starting tight end gives him a floor that Hill's passing-down role in Baltimore can't match. Hill's offense projects for the better scoreboard, but he's still capped under a 40% snap share behind the lead back, so extra points don't guarantee him more touches. Helm's usage edge is built on a full 16-game sample, which makes it the sturdier signal here than Baltimore's implied total, a number that helps a change-of-pace back only if the game script funnels touches his way. Neither matchup rank means much yet since both are zero-game DvP reads, so this comes down to whose role you trust more.
What flips it: Baltimore leaning on Hill in two-minute or clear passing-down packages instead of the lead back.
Sources: Yahoo Sports (Titans Wire) · Aug 30, 2026
AI editor

Gunnar Helm
4.25.87.5 Projected Points

Justice Hill
4.86.07.2 Projected Points
Why Gunnar Helm
Toss-UpSecond-year starting TE in pass-catching role. Move TE with seam-stretching reps and developing in-line blocking after a franchise-rookie-record 44 catches.
Toss-up — TE24 consensus, projects TE23 this week: 11% target share in 2025, 7.5 PPR projected vs NYJ.
- Titans Wire lists Helm as the outright starting TE with only unproven names behind him, locking in his seam role (Yahoo Sports (Titans Wire) 2026-08-30).
- His snap share is drawn from a full 16-game sample, a far more reliable usage signal than Hill's smaller 10-game look.
Latest on Helm
Why Justice Hill
Toss-UpChange-of-pace and third-down RB. Pass-catching back with quickness, complementary to the lead back.
Toss-up — RB51 consensus, projects RB45 this week: 26.5 implied team total, 11% target share in 2025.
- Baltimore's plus game script could mean more passing-down snaps if Indianapolis makes the Ravens throw to keep pace.
- As a true change-of-pace back, his ceiling depends on game flow, not raw scoreboard math, capping upside even in a blowout.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Gunnar Helm | Justice Hill |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 4.25.87.5 | 4.86.07.2 |
| Consensus rank | TE24 | RB51 |
| Opponent vs position | NYJ · 20 of 320-game sample | IND · 12 of 320-game sample |
| Receptions | 17 of 32 | 10 of 32 |
| Receiving Yards | 17 of 32 | 4 of 32 |
| Receiving TDs | 26 of 32 | — |
| Targets | 16 of 32 | — |
| Anytime TD | 26 of 32 | 16 of 32 |
| Rushing Yards | — | 10 of 32 |
| Rushing TDs | — | 12 of 32 |
| Rushing Attempts | — | 18 of 32 |
| Target share | 11%(2025) | 11%(2025) |
| Reception share | 14%(2025) | 13%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 21.3-3.0 | 26.5-3.5 |
| Depth chart | TE1 | RB2 |
| Snap share | 53%(2025) | 37%(2025) |
Signal breakdown
- 7.5 vs 7.2 projected PPR pointsGunnar Helm +
- Rank 24 vs 51Gunnar Helm +
- Opponent DvP rank 20 vs 12 (32 = softest)even
- Implied 21.3 vs 26.5 team pointsJustice Hill +
- No injury designationseven
- 53% vs 37% snap shareGunnar Helm +
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