Gunnar Helm or Justice Hill: Who Should You Start?

Preliminary board

2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.

Verdicts sharpen as practice reports land.

Helm's Locked-In TE1 Role Edges Hill's Game-Script Bump in a Wafer-Thin Call

Helm's spot as Tennessee's clear starting tight end gives him a floor that Hill's passing-down role in Baltimore can't match. Hill's offense projects for the better scoreboard, but he's still capped under a 40% snap share behind the lead back, so extra points don't guarantee him more touches. Helm's usage edge is built on a full 16-game sample, which makes it the sturdier signal here than Baltimore's implied total, a number that helps a change-of-pace back only if the game script funnels touches his way. Neither matchup rank means much yet since both are zero-game DvP reads, so this comes down to whose role you trust more.

What flips it: Baltimore leaning on Hill in two-minute or clear passing-down packages instead of the lead back.

Sources: Yahoo Sports (Titans Wire) · Aug 30, 2026

AI editor

Gunnar Helm

Gunnar Helm

TE24TENvs NYJ

Projected Points

Toss-Up
Justice Hill

Justice Hill

RB51BALvs IND

Projected Points

Toss-Up

Why Gunnar Helm

Toss-Up

Second-year starting TE in pass-catching role. Move TE with seam-stretching reps and developing in-line blocking after a franchise-rookie-record 44 catches.

Toss-up — TE24 consensus, projects TE23 this week: 11% target share in 2025, 7.5 PPR projected vs NYJ.

  • Titans Wire lists Helm as the outright starting TE with only unproven names behind him, locking in his seam role (Yahoo Sports (Titans Wire) 2026-08-30).
  • His snap share is drawn from a full 16-game sample, a far more reliable usage signal than Hill's smaller 10-game look.

Latest on Helm

Verified
RoleHelm is listed as the Titans' starting tight end on the initial 53-man roster, with Daniel Bellinger, David Martin-Robinson and Kylen Granson behind him.Yahoo Sports (Titans Wire) · Aug 30, 2026

Why Justice Hill

Toss-Up

Change-of-pace and third-down RB. Pass-catching back with quickness, complementary to the lead back.

Toss-up — RB51 consensus, projects RB45 this week: 26.5 implied team total, 11% target share in 2025.

  • Baltimore's plus game script could mean more passing-down snaps if Indianapolis makes the Ravens throw to keep pace.
  • As a true change-of-pace back, his ceiling depends on game flow, not raw scoreboard math, capping upside even in a blowout.

Head-to-head stats

MetricGunnar HelmJustice Hill
Projected points
Consensus rankTE24RB51
Opponent vs positionNYJ · 20 of 320-game sampleIND · 12 of 320-game sample
Receptions17 of 3210 of 32
Receiving Yards17 of 324 of 32
Receiving TDs26 of 32
Targets16 of 32
Anytime TD26 of 3216 of 32
Rushing Yards10 of 32
Rushing TDs12 of 32
Rushing Attempts18 of 32
Target share11%(2025)11%(2025)
Reception share14%(2025)13%(2025)
Implied total · spread21.3-3.026.5-3.5
Depth chartTE1RB2
Snap share53%(2025)37%(2025)

Signal breakdown

  • 7.5 vs 7.2 projected PPR pointsGunnar Helm +
  • Rank 24 vs 51Gunnar Helm +
  • Opponent DvP rank 20 vs 12 (32 = softest)even
  • Implied 21.3 vs 26.5 team pointsJustice Hill +
  • No injury designationseven
  • 53% vs 37% snap shareGunnar Helm +

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