Garrett Wilson or Michael Pittman Jr.: Who Should You Start?
2026 Week 1 · deterministic head-to-head · Verdicts based on PPR scoring.
Wilson's target hog role beats Pittman's health question and new-offense uncertainty
Wilson is the clear engine of the Jets passing game, drawing nearly a third of the targets with no injury cloud, which is why he holds a top-15 weekly floor even in a game where the Jets aren't expected to score much. Pittman's situation looks appealing on the surface — a favorable implied total and a slight edge in game script — but he's playing through a questionable tag and pulling a smaller slice of a run-first Steelers offense. The gap in target share is the real story here: Wilson sees far more volume in an offense built around him, while Pittman is a complementary piece who needs the Steelers to lean pass-heavy to hit his ceiling. Health is the swing risk on Pittman's side, not scheme.
What flips it: Pittman clearing the questionable tag with a full practice week and PIT leaning pass-heavy against Atlanta.
AI editor

Garrett Wilson
8.911.814.7 Projected Points

Michael Pittman Jr.
7.29.712.3 Projected Points
Why Garrett Wilson
StartWR1 and primary target. Twitchy route runner with elite separation and contested-catch ability on the boundary.
Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR13: 18.3 implied team total caps the ceiling, 30% target share in 2025.
- Elite separation ability lets him win vs a Titans defense even without a huge point total to work with.
- No injury designation gives him a clean floor that Pittman simply doesn't have this week.
Why Michael Pittman Jr.
Toss-UpWR1 and possession target. Big-bodied X receiver with contested-catch ability and high-volume target share.
Toss-up — WR31 consensus, projects WR23 this week: 21% target share in 2025, Questionable on the latest report.
- A run-first Steelers game plan built around a favorable spread could still funnel him a scoring chance or two.
- Big-bodied contested-catch skill set gives him some insulation if his questionable tag proves cosmetic.
Head-to-head stats
| Metric | Garrett Wilson | Michael Pittman Jr. |
|---|---|---|
| Projected points | 8.911.814.7 | 7.29.712.3 |
| Consensus rank | WR13 | WR31 |
| Opponent vs position | TENno ranking yet | ATLno ranking yet |
| Target share | 30%(2025) | 21%(2025) |
| Reception share | 29%(2025) | 22%(2025) |
| Implied total · spread | 18.3+3.0 | 22.8-3.0 |
| Depth chart | WR1 | WR2 |
| Snap share | 87%(2025) | 86%(2025) |
| Injury designation | — | Q |
Signal breakdown
- 14.7 vs 12.3 projected PPR pointsGarrett Wilson +
- Rank 13 vs 31Garrett Wilson +
- Matchup (DvP composite)even
- Implied 18.3 vs 22.8 team pointsMichael Pittman Jr. +
- no designation vs QGarrett Wilson +
- 87% vs 86% snap shareGarrett Wilson +
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