Bo Nix or Dak Prescott: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Consensus has him QB13 at 16.2 points, which is exactly the fringe of a 12-team starting lineup — you're not gaining anything over a typical waiver streamer unless the matchup breaks right.
• A 20.0 implied team total against Kansas City caps the ceiling; this projects as a controlled, low-volume scoring game rather than a shootout.
• He's locked in at 100% snap share with no injury designation, so the floor is safe — the question is ceiling, not opportunity.
• The 2.5-point spread means neutral-to-slightly-negative game script; if Denver falls behind and volume spikes, he's a clear start, but a tight low-scoring game leaves him in the 15-point range.

The call

• Consensus QB9 at 17.1 projected points is comfortably inside the weekly starting range for a 12-team league; the replacement option on most benches is a QB15-plus.
• Role is completely locked: 95% snap share as the unquestioned QB1, no injury designation on the sheet.
• The 25.0 implied team total is a healthy offensive environment, and a 1.5-point spread means a competitive script that keeps him throwing rather than sitting on a lead.
• Only real risk is a low-event, run-heavy game if Dallas pulls ahead, but a near-pick'em line makes that the less likely path.