Blake Corum or Xavier Worthy: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Corum is the clear complement, not the workhorse: 29% snap share and a 2% target share over 17 games leaves him dependent on touchdown luck rather than volume.
• The 2% target share is the killer in PPR — there's no reception floor to bail out a 10-carry afternoon, and the 9.4 projection reflects that.
• Game script is the one thing working for him: a 25.8 implied team total as a 3-point favorite means late-game rushing work is on the table if the Rams lead.
• Matchup read is unusable here — the DvP composite sits at 18 of 32 but on a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no soft-spot argument to lean on.
• Tips to a flex if Kyren Williams shows up on the injury report; until then RB38 sits behind any typical replacement starter.

The call

• The projection is the problem: 9.5 PPR points and a WR50 consensus rank sit under what a typical 12-team waiver flex delivers, so he's a bench body unless you're thin.
• Role is real but not commanding — WR-2 with a 71% snap share and only a 16% target share over 14 games means he needs a long touchdown to hit value.
• Denver grades 13 of 32 in the DvP composite, tougher than league average, and that's on a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no soft-matchup bump to lean on.
• A 22.5 implied team total with a -2.5 spread points to a moderate-scoring, close game — no shootout script forcing extra volume his way.