Bhayshul Tuten or Tetairoa McMillan: Who Should You Start?

McMillan's every-week volume beats Tuten's game-script gamble

This isn't close despite the razor-thin projection gap. McMillan is a true bell-cow target earner while Tuten is still splitting touches in a committee, and that role gap matters more than any spread. Jacksonville's blowout script helps Tuten's ceiling if he breaks one long run, but a back playing barely a fifth of snaps needs volume luck he doesn't control. McMillan's floor is built on a target share that shows up regardless of game flow.

What flips it: A snap-share jump into clear lead-back territory for Tuten before kickoff.

AI editor

Bhayshul Tuten

RB22JAXvs CLE

10.511.412.4 Projected Points

Toss-Up· medium

Tetairoa McMillan

WR15CARvs CHI

9.411.914.4 Projected Points

Start

Why Bhayshul Tuten

Toss-Up· medium

Second-year lead back with home-run speed. Explosive committee piece projecting to top of depth chart.

Favorable script (-7.5, 24.0 implied) props up an RB22 projection, but a 21% snap share and 3% target share cap the floor in a committee.

Second-year explosiveness plus a lopsided Jacksonville spread means real long-touchdown equity if he breaks free.
A negative game script for Cleveland could push Jacksonville toward more early-down clock-killing work for Tuten late.

The call

Usage is the problem: 21% snap share and a 3% target share across 15 games means he's a rotational piece, not a workhorse, and his touches swing week to week.
Game script is the argument for him — Jacksonville is favored by 7.5 with a 24.0 implied total, and a lead means fourth-quarter carries for whoever is on the field.
The 12.4-point projection and RB22 rank are flex-viable, but almost all of that value is volume-dependent rather than earned through receiving work.
Tip it to start if he's handling goal-line or closing duties this week; if it stays a true split backfield, he's a bench-the-committee-back situation.

Why Tetairoa McMillan

Start

WR1 and primary target. Big-bodied X receiver with elite catch radius and contested-catch dominance, high-volume role.

Start — every-week WR start at consensus WR15: 25% target share in 2025, 14.4 PPR projected vs CHI.

Big-bodied contested-catch ability makes him a target even when Carolina trails or the game gets tight.
Every-week role security means his output doesn't depend on one explosive play the way a committee back's does.

Head-to-head stats

Metric	Bhayshul Tuten	Tetairoa McMillan
Projected points	10.511.412.4	9.411.914.4
Consensus rank	RB22	WR15
Opponent vs position	CLEno ranking yet	CHIno ranking yet
Target share	3%(2025)	25%(2025)
Reception share	3%(2025)	21%(2025)
Implied total · spread	24.0-7.5	21.0+2.5
Depth chart	RB1	WR1
Snap share	21%(2025)	87%(2025)
Start/Sit record	0–0+1 toss-up	—