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All Fights

Hernandez vs Dos Anjos

Alexander Hernandez
AlexanderHernandez🇺🇸
ML-244
RoundsO/U 2.5
Rafael Dos Anjos
RafaelDos Anjos🇧🇷
ML+244
“El Gran Chango”Nickname–
18-9-0Record32-17-0
34Age41
5'9"Height5'8"
72"Reach70"
OrthodoxStanceSouthpaw
UFC 332: Silva vs. WangSalt Lake CityLightweight

Lines

Fight Markets

Recent Form

Alexander Hernandez
Alexander Hernandez
Rafa Garcia
L
Rafa GarciaDECR3 5:00Apr 252026
Diego Ferreira
W
Diego FerreiraKOR2 3:46Sep 132025
Chase Hooper
W
Chase HooperKOR1 4:58Aug 162025
Kurt Holobaugh
W
Kurt HolobaughDECR3 5:00Mar 152025
Austin Hubbard
W
Austin HubbardDECR3 5:00Oct 52024
Rafael Dos Anjos
Rafael Dos Anjos
Geoff Neal
L
Geoff NealKOR1 1:30Oct 262024
Mateusz Gamrot
L
Mateusz GamrotDECR3 5:00Mar 92024
Vicente Luque
L
Vicente LuqueDECR5 5:00Aug 122023
Bryan Barberena
W
Bryan BarberenaSUBR2 3:20Dec 32022
Rafael Fiziev
L
Rafael FizievKOR5 0:18Jul 92022

Hernandez vs Dos Anjos Prediction and Preview

Hernandez and Dos Anjos meet in a three-round lightweight fight at UFC 332 on Saturday, October 3. Hernandez is 18-9 overall and 10-8 in the UFC. Dos Anjos is 32-17 and 21-14. Hernandez has 10 UFC wins, 5 of them inside the distance. Dos Anjos has 21 UFC wins, 12 of them by decision. Hernandez is seven years younger. The market makes Hernandez a clear favorite, about 71 percent after the margin is removed.

What the Market Expects

Hernandez
71 percent
Dos Anjos
29 percent
How the market sees it ending, given a winner
FighterKO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Hernandez35%4%28%
Dos Anjos6%9%18%

Goes the distance: about 51 percent.

Total rounds line 2.5. Over 2.5 rounds means the fight passes the 2:30 mark of round 3. A three-round fight that goes the distance is over. How often fights go the distance

Market information from the posted odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. The percentages are approximate. Not our pick. Current consensus prices.

Tale of the Tape and Career Rates

StatHernandezDos Anjos
Height5'9"5'8"
Reach72"70"
Age3441
StanceOrthodoxSouthpaw
UFC Record10-821-14
Sig. Strikes Landed / Min4.23.5
Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min4.53.2
Sig. Strike Accuracy40%47%
Sig. Strike Defense60%61%
Knockdowns / 150.50.2
Takedowns / 151.02.0
Takedown Accuracy35%36%
Takedown Defense69%57%
Sub Attempts / 150.10.5
Control / 151:562:09
Finish Rate28%26%
Finished Rate22%14%
Went the Distance50%60%
Average Fight Time10:2214:14

Patterns on This Fight

1 Patterns trend qualifies on this fight. See the Patterns board

AI Analysis

Our AI analysis leans Alexander Hernandez. The full analysis covers the method, the rounds and the matchup.

Hernandez vs Dos Anjos: Questions and Answers

Who is favored in Hernandez vs Dos Anjos?
The betting market favors Alexander Hernandez, about 71 percent to win after the margin is removed. That is market information, not our pick.
How many rounds is Hernandez vs Dos Anjos?
Hernandez vs Dos Anjos is scheduled for three rounds. The total rounds line is 2.5. Over 2.5 rounds means the fight passes the 2:30 mark of round 3. A three-round fight that goes the distance is over.
What time does Hernandez vs Dos Anjos start?
The Early Prelims starts at 5:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 3. Fights run in order, so this bout starts after the ones before it.
What are Hernandez's and Dos Anjos's records?
Alexander Hernandez is 18-9 (10-8 in the UFC). Rafael Dos Anjos is 32-17 (21-14 in the UFC).
How do Hernandez and Dos Anjos usually win?
Hernandez has 10 UFC wins: 5 by KO/TKO, 0 by submission and 5 by decision. Dos Anjos has 21 UFC wins: 4 by KO/TKO, 5 by submission and 12 by decision.

More on This Fight

  • Alexander Hernandez's fighter page
  • Rafael Dos Anjos's fighter page
  • UFC 332 fight card
  • UFC lightweight rankings
  • UFC finish rates by weight class
  • This week's UFC fights