Hunter Long or John Bates: Who Should You Start?

Historical comparison from 2026 Week 1 — one of these players isn’t on the current board.

Too close to call — the edges cancel out.

Hunter Long and John Bates grade out even this week. Long's best edge is availability (a clean report to Bates's Questionable), Bates's best edge is the projection (1.9 to 0.5) — and they cancel out. Start whichever player's game you trust more this week.

Hunter Long

Hunter Long

TEARIvs LAC

Projected Points

Sit
John Bates

John Bates

TEWSHvs PHI

Projected Points

Sit

Why Hunter Long

Sit

Sit — projects TE92 this week: LAC is the 5th-toughest matchup vs TEs, 17.0 implied team total caps the ceiling.

  • LAC ranks 5 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 17-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 17.0 team points as 11.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 47% snap share in 2025.

Latest on Long

Veteran played with Mike LaFleur for two seasons in L.A.

azcardinals.com · Aug 30, 2026

Reported by the sources listed — not independently verified.

Why John Bates

Sit

TE2 in blocking role. In-line grinder used in heavy sets and short-yardage.

Sit — projects TE59 this week: PHI is the 2nd-toughest matchup vs TEs, 7% target share in 2025.

  • Carries a Questionable tag — usually plays, but monitor the final report.
  • PHI ranks 2 of 32 against TEs (one of the tougher matchups, 17-game sample).
  • Vegas implies 20.5 team points as 5.5-point underdogs.
  • Listed TE on the latest depth chart with a 55% snap share in 2025.

Head-to-head stats

MetricHunter LongJohn Bates
Projected points
Opponent vs positionLAC · 5 of 3217-game samplePHI · 2 of 3217-game sample
Receptions3 of 322 of 32
Receiving Yards4 of 321 of 32
Receiving TDs9 of 321 of 32
Targets2 of 326 of 32
Anytime TD9 of 321 of 32
Target share8%(2025)7%(2025)
Reception share9%(2025)7%(2025)
Implied total · spread17.0+11.520.5+5.5
Depth chartTE3TE2
Snap share47%(2025)55%(2025)
Injury designationQuestionable

Signal breakdown

  • 0.5 vs 1.9 projected PPR pointsJohn Bates +
  • Consensus position rankeven
  • Opponent DvP rank 5 vs 2 (32 = softest)Hunter Long +
  • Implied 17.0 vs 20.5 team pointsJohn Bates +
  • no designation vs QuestionableHunter Long +
  • 47% vs 55% snap shareJohn Bates +

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