Deebo Samuel Sr. or Jordan Addison: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Usage is the case for him: a 24% target share over 16 games with 72% snaps is genuine WR1-level volume for this offense, and in PPR that volume creates a real catch floor even on short throws.
• The projection disagrees — 8.9 points and a WR55 consensus rank put him behind most starting-caliber options in a 12-team league, so he's a flex play rather than a lineup lock.
• Matchup offers no edge: the Rams grade 21 of 32 in the DvP composite, and that number carries a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so treat it as neutral rather than a reason to start.
• A 22.8 implied total with a 3.0 spread points to a competitive, moderate-scoring script. If you need ceiling, look elsewhere; if you need floor at flex, the target share plays.
• No injury designation, so the role is intact — the question is purely whether your bench has a higher-upside option.

The call

• The role is not the problem: 85% snap share and a 21% target share over 14 games make Addison a locked-in WR2 who gets fed regardless of script.
• The matchup is neutral at best — Green Bay grades 17 of 32 in the DvP composite, and that number carries a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no edge to bank on.
• A 21.5 implied team total with a 1.5-point spread points to a tight, moderate-scoring game — enough passing volume to matter, not enough to project a spike week.
• Tiebreaker: start him if your alternative is a sub-15% target-share flyer; sit him if you have a WR attached to a higher implied total or a genuinely soft coverage matchup.