Aaron Jones Sr. or Jordan Addison: Who Should You Start?

The call

• Committee math is the issue: Yahoo describes Jones and Jordan Mason as a true 1a/1b tandem, and the 55% snap share confirms he isn't a workhorse — that caps the ceiling at the 10.3-point projection.
• PPR is his friend. A 12% target share over 12 games is strong for a running back and gives him a safe floor even if the goal-line work goes elsewhere.
• Game script is neutral-to-good: a 1.5-point spread and 21.5 implied team total mean no game-flow blowup, so he should see his full complement of touches.
• Matchup grades middle of the pack (17 of 32) but on a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no edge to lean on either way. If you have a clear RB2/flex with a defined lead role, start that guy; if your bench is thin, Jones is a playable flex.

The call

• The role is not the problem: 85% snap share and a 21% target share over 14 games make Addison a locked-in WR2 who gets fed regardless of script.
• The matchup is neutral at best — Green Bay grades 17 of 32 in the DvP composite, and that number carries a 0-game sample with 0.00 confidence, so there's no edge to bank on.
• A 21.5 implied team total with a 1.5-point spread points to a tight, moderate-scoring game — enough passing volume to matter, not enough to project a spike week.
• Tiebreaker: start him if your alternative is a sub-15% target-share flyer; sit him if you have a WR attached to a higher implied total or a genuinely soft coverage matchup.