John Carlson

John Carlson Points Prop

Tampa Bay Lightning · D

Hit rates vs the 2025-26 benchmark (0.5). That is a half-line derived from that season’s median, not a posted sportsbook line. Next game: Oct 1 @ NYR.

Last 5
2/5 (40%)avg 1
Last 10
4/10 (40%)avg 0.8
Season
39/71 (55%)avg 0.8

John Carlson has gone over 0.5 points in 4 of his last 10 games (40%), averaging 0.8 in 2025-26. Against NYR he averages 0.3 (33% over).

Is John Carlson going over or under his points line?

John Carlson has gone over 0.5 points in 2 of his last 5 games, averaging 1 over that stretch. Across 71 games in 2025-26 he cleared the number 39 times (55%).

Last 10 Games vs 0.5

DateMatchupPTSO/U
Apr 16@
NSH
2✓ Over
Apr 14@
MIN
0✗ Under
Apr 12vs
VAN
0✗ Under
Apr 9vs
SJS
3✓ Over
Apr 7vs
NSH
0✗ Under
Apr 4vs
CGY
0✗ Under
Apr 3vs
STL
0✗ Under
Apr 1@
SJS
0✗ Under
Mar 30vs
TOR
1✓ Over
Mar 28@
EDM
2✓ Over

How does John Carlson perform against the New York Rangers?

In 6 regular-season meetings with NYR over the last three seasons, John Carlson has averaged 0.3 points, going over 0.5 in 33% of those games.

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