Duncan vs Allen
Christian LeroyDuncan
ML+124RoundsNo Line Yet
BrendanAllen
ML-124“CLD”Nickname“All In”
15-2-0Record27-7-0
31Age30
6'2"Height6'2"
79"Reach75"
SwitchStanceOrthodox
Lines
Fight Markets
Lines
Fight Markets
Duncan carries a 79" reach into this 5-round middleweight main event, giving the Switch-stance fighter length over Allen's 75" though both stand 6'2". Allen brings a 15-4 UFC record, with 9 of 15 wins inside the distance and submission his usual route, while Duncan has finished 5 of his 8, most often by KO/TKO. The market lists Allen as a slight favorite.
Written by AI from the facts on this page.
Duncan and Allen meet in a five-round middleweight fight, the main event of UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan on Saturday, October 10. Duncan is 15-2 overall and 8-2 in the UFC. Allen is 27-7 and 15-4. Duncan has 8 UFC wins, 5 of them inside the distance. Allen has 15 UFC wins, 9 of them inside the distance. Allen gives up four inches of reach. The market makes Allen a slight favorite, about 55 percent after the margin is removed.
Market information from the posted odds, with the bookmaker margin removed. The percentages are approximate. Not our pick. Current consensus prices.
| Stat | Duncan | Allen |
|---|---|---|
| Height | 6'2" | 6'2" |
| Reach | 79" | 75" |
| Age | 31 | 30 |
| Stance | Switch | Orthodox |
| UFC Record | 8-2 | 15-4 |
| Sig. Strikes Landed / Min | 4.4 | 3.7 |
| Sig. Strikes Absorbed / Min | 2.4 | 3.7 |
| Sig. Strike Accuracy | 58% | 52% |
| Sig. Strike Defense | 54% | 48% |
| Knockdowns / 15 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Takedowns / 15 | 0.4 | 1.5 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 20% | 42% |
| Takedown Defense | 58% | 56% |
| Sub Attempts / 15 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Control / 15 | 3:03 | 4:27 |
| Finish Rate | 50% | 47% |
| Finished Rate | 0% | 11% |
| Went the Distance | 50% | 42% |
| Average Fight Time | 10:33 | 11:44 |
Our AI analysis leans Christian Leroy Duncan. The market makes Allen a narrow favorite, but I make Duncan marginally more likely because the opponent-adjusted striking matchup favors him on both sides. The full analysis covers the method, the rounds and the matchup.
