Mitch Keller

Mitch Keller Earned Runs Prop

Pittsburgh Pirates · SP

No earned runs line posted yet for today — showing hit rates vs the typical line (2.5, last posted Jul 9).

Last 5
5/5 (100%)avg 3.6
Last 10
9/10 (90%)avg 4.1
Season
12/19 (63%)avg 3.3

Mitch Keller has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 9 of his last 10 games (90%), averaging 3.3 this season. Against NYY he averages 7 (100% over).

Is Mitch Keller going over or under his earned runs line?

Mitch Keller has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 5 of his last 5 games, averaging 3.6 over that stretch. Across 19 games this season he has cleared the number 12 times (63%), with a season average 0.8 above the typical 2.5 line. He has gone over in 8 straight games.

Last 10 Games vs 2.5

DateMatchupERO/U
Jul 9vsATL3✓ Over
Jul 3@WSH5✓ Over
Jun 28vsCIN3✓ Over
Jun 23vsSEA3✓ Over
Jun 16@OAK4✓ Over
Jun 11vsLAD5✓ Over
Jun 5@ATL6✓ Over
May 30vsMIN7✓ Over
May 24@TOR1✗ Under
May 19@STL4✓ Over

How does Mitch Keller perform against the New York Yankees?

In 1 regular-season meeting with NYY over the last three seasons, Mitch Keller has averaged 7 earned runs, going over 2.5 in 100% of those games.

Full splits, matchup data & AI analysis →

Home/away and rest splits, defense vs position, zone data and AI-powered analysis for Mitch Keller and every MLB player — free to start.

Get Started Free

Or check out today's game page.