Aaron Nola Earned Runs Prop
No earned runs line posted yet for today — showing hit rates vs the typical line (2.5, last posted Aug 31).
Aaron Nola has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 3 of his last 10 games (30%), averaging 2.9 this season. Against ATL he averages 3.8 (67% over).
Is Aaron Nola going over or under his earned runs line?
Aaron Nola has gone over 2.5 earned runs in 0 of his last 5 games, averaging 1.4 over that stretch. Across 28 games this season he has cleared the number 15 times (54%), with a season average 0.4 above the typical 2.5 line. He has gone under in 5 straight games.
Last 10 Games vs 2.5
How does Aaron Nola perform against the Atlanta Braves?
In 6 regular-season meetings with ATL over the last three seasons, Aaron Nola has averaged 3.8 earned runs, going over 2.5 in 67% of those games.
Full splits, matchup data & AI analysis →
Home/away and rest splits, defense vs position, zone data and AI-powered analysis for Aaron Nola and every MLB player — free to start.
Get Started FreeOr check out today's game page.