How MLB Patterns are selected
We analyze every player prop across multiple dimensions. A pick appears when matchup signals agree and recent form confirms:
Over
- Hitter matchup signals:
- Opposing pitcher BAA > .260, HR/9 > 1.3, or WHIP > 1.35
- Hitter platoon split > .290 BA vs pitcher hand
- Hitter-friendly park factor
- Career vs pitcher .300+ BA (10+ PA)
- Pitcher K matchup signals:
- Pitcher K/9 > 9.5 (elite strikeout rate)
- Opposing team K-rate top 10 in MLB
- Pitcher avg > 6.0 IP/start (deep into games)
- High strikeout park factor
- Form confirmation (at least 1):
- Over in 4+ of last 5 or 7+ of last 10
- Over in 66%+ vs opponent (min 4 games)
Under
- Hitter matchup signals:
- Opposing pitcher BAA < .210, HR/9 < 0.7, or WHIP < 1.05
- Hitter platoon split < .220 BA vs pitcher hand
- Pitcher-friendly park factor
- Career vs pitcher .180- BA (10+ PA)
- Pitcher K matchup signals:
- Pitcher K/9 < 6.5 (low strikeout rate)
- Opposing team K-rate bottom 10 in MLB
- Pitcher avg < 5.0 IP/start (short outings)
- Low strikeout park factor
- Form confirmation (at least 1):
- Under in 4+ of last 5 or 7+ of last 10
- Under in 66%+ vs opponent (min 4 games)
Confidence tiers: Featured (4+ signals), Strong (3 signals), Standard (2 signals). Conflicting matchup signals result in no pick. Odds must be between -200 and +200.
These are automated statistical matches. Picks update as odds and lineups change.
Tampa Bay RaysvsBaltimore Orioles
Premium
Taylor Ward
Total Bases
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Premium
Yandy Diaz
Total Bases
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Premium
Adley Rutschman
Total Bases
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
+6 more picks available
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Minnesota TwinsvsChicago White Sox
Premium
Colson Montgomery
Total Bases
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Premium
Sam Antonacci
Total Bases
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Premium
Ryan Kreidler
Hits
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
+2 more picks available
St. Louis CardinalsvsMilwaukee Brewers
Premium
Jacob Misiorowski
Outs Recorded
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
New York YankeesvsKansas City Royals
Premium
Michael Wacha
Outs Recorded
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Premium
Aaron Judge
Total Bases
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Premium
Ben Rice
Total Bases
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
+4 more picks available
Cincinnati RedsvsNew York Mets
Premium
Sal Stewart
Total Bases
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Premium
Eugenio Suarez
Hits
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Premium
Brett Baty
Hits + Runs + RBIs
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Arizona DiamondbacksvsSan Francisco Giants
Premium
Ildemaro Vargas
Hits
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Premium
Adrian Del Castillo
Hits
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Premium
Matt Chapman
Hits
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
+3 more picks available
Washington NationalsvsCleveland Guardians
Premium
Dylan Crews
Total Bases
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Philadelphia PhilliesvsSan Diego Padres
Premium
Jesus Luzardo
Outs Recorded
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Premium
Trea Turner
Total Bases
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Houston AstrosvsTexas Rangers
Premium
Kumar Rocker
Strikeouts
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Premium
Jake Burger
Hits
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
Premium
Isaac Paredes
Hits
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
+4 more picks available
Seattle MarinersvsOakland Athletics
Premium
Henry Bolte
Hits
Last 5 Games
Last 10 Games
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