Finding Edges with NBA and MLB Stats Leaders

Stats leaders are underrated for prop research. Most people glance at them to see who's scoring the most points, but there's more value there if you know what to look for.

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Volume Creates Predictability

Players at the top of the leaderboards produce at high volume. More touches, more shots, more opportunities. That volume creates data you can actually work with.

A guy averaging 28 points on 22 shots per game is easier to project than someone averaging 12 on inconsistent usage. You know he's getting his opportunities. The question becomes whether tonight's matchup changes the efficiency.

Same goes for assists, rebounds, strikeouts, whatever category you're targeting. High-volume producers give you a baseline to work from.

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How I Use These Pages

I usually start with the NBA Stats Leaders or MLB Stats Leaders page, depending on the sport. Pick a category and scan the top 20 or so.

From there, I'll click into a player's page to check their game logs. What I'm looking for: is the production steady or all over the place? Are they on an upswing or cooling off? Sometimes a player's last 5 games look nothing like their season average.

If something looks interesting, I'll check the team page for roster context. Injuries, rotations, pace of play. All of that affects individual numbers.

Then I run it through our AI analysis to get the matchup breakdown. The leaderboard tells you who's producing. The AI tells you whether tonight's game is a good or bad spot for them.

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Look Past the Stars

The top 5 in any category are priced accordingly. Books know Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scores a lot of points. That's not where the edge is.

Look at players ranked 10-25 in a category. Or find the specialists. A player might be 30th in scoring but top 5 in steals or blocks. Books pay less attention to peripheral stats, and that's where lines get lazy.

The NBA Players and MLB Players pages help here. You can browse by team and find guys who are producing but aren't getting the attention.

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Putting It Together

Stats leaders show you who's doing what. Context tells you why. Your job is to figure out if tonight's game is a continuation or an exception.

Start with the leaderboards, dig into the details, and see what you find.

NBA Stats Leaders · MLB Stats Leaders · Browse Players